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The Sun Will Come Out: What a Market Recovery Will Look Like
Half the years in which a bear market occurred, the market actually finished up on the year. For example, in 1987, the market finished the year up 2% after being down 34% intra year. In 2009, the market closed up 23% after being down 28%
Read MoreBond. Carnage Bond.
Less than 2 short years ago when US interest rates were hitting historical lows, and there was talk that a key interest rate benchmark might actually go negative, I warned that in the coming years, losses in bonds from the then inflated
Read MoreJim Cramer Is Not Your Financial Advisor.
Jim Cramer. Smart guy. Successful money manager. Great TV personality. Not your Financial Advisor. He says it himself in so many words at the beginning of each show when he declares that he is there to entertain and to teach.
Read MoreHow To Survive A Bear Attack
My 11-year-old daughter, who is quite industrious and forward thinking, announced recently her intention to cultivate a set of friends for camping who are not particularly speedy. “When a bear attacks, I don’t need to be as quick as the bea
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2021 recap: Lessons (Re) Learned
Each year the stock market brings new events, challenges, and opportunities, but the underlying themes and fundamentals are often very similar to lessons past. As the saying goes, history doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme. Here are s
Read MoreWhat The Fed!
Day after day for weeks, months, financial analysts and pundits debated mightily what the Fed would say about tapering and interest rates at its most recent meeting. It was as though the fate of our economy, if not all humanity, hung in the
Read MoreCW Newsletter October, 2021
Bring Out Your Dead: The Shock of Anticipated Events There is a great scene in the classic movie Monty Python and The Holy Grail where 2 castle guards are standing casually in front of an entrance. The camera pans to what appears to be...
Read MoreCW Newsletter September, 2021
The Stock Market is Rigged – In Your Favor You will often hear investors refer to the stock market being “rigged” as a basis for not investing in equities. They are suggesting that stocks are somehow manipulated or...
Read MoreIt’s Not Right! It’s Not Fair!!!
I hear this phrase regularly from my kids when they are explaining how inequitable it is that one of them gets something and another doesn’t or some similar grievance. You also hear a similar refrain when it comes to the current...
Read MoreCW Newsletter July, 2021
Inputs, Outputs, and Results A few years ago, I attempted to swim the English Channel. Having just completed an Ironman triathlon, I was at one of my leanest points, my weight hovering around 165 lbs. I was also seeking an athletic...
Read MoreCW Newsletter June, 2021
“When you go looking for something specific, your chances of finding it are very bad. Because of all the things in the world, you are only looking for one of them. When you go looking for anything at all, your chances of finding...
Read MoreOne Question Every Financial Advisor Should Ask
At Coastwise, if we could ask a new client only one question, it would be: “What is your time horizon?” Put another way: “When do you need the money back?” With this information, we can determine the risk, asset...
Read MoreThe Anatomy of Investor Gray Matter
I was warming up in the gym the other day on a spin bike and a TV show about doctors (Grey’s Anatomy) came on. I didn’t have the volume up so I could not hear what they were saying, but as soon as the scene shifted to an...
Read MoreHappy 1 Year Birthday Market Melt Down
“The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect. You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd or against the crowd.”– Warren Buffett A year ago this...
Read MoreThe Call Is Coming From Inside The House – Assessing Real Risk
I recently had a COVID test with my two young kids. They had a lot of fear and anxiety going into the test, visualizing a swab protruding into their brains for minutes on end. Of course, the test turned out to be a nothing burger, and...
Read MoreCoastwise Welcomes Patrick Fischer
LA Jolla, CA (December 10, 2020) Coastwise Capital Group, LLC is pleased to announce Mr. Patrick Fischer will be joining our team as a Financial Advisor and Portfolio Manager. Coastwise is proud to add a team member with such an...
Read MoreHow Not To Be Wrong (As Often)
A couple years ago I read a great book, How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking. The basic theme of the work is that humans tend to either intentionally, or subconsciously, interpret numbers and facts in ways that lead...
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